Intel Stock Gets a Monday Boost: Tech Rally and Analyst Optimism Fuel the Fire

MarketDash

Jun 29, 9:50 AM • 2 hours ago

Intel Stock Gets a Monday Boost: Tech Rally and Analyst Optimism Fuel the Fire

Intel shares rise in premarket as a broader tech rally lifts chipmakers. With a 473% gain over the past year and a bullish analyst note from Bernstein, is INTC gearing up for another leg higher?

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Intel Corp. Intel (INTC) shares edged higher in Monday's premarket session, gaining nearly 1% as a wave of risk appetite swept through large-cap technology stocks. Nasdaq futures were up 1.12%, and S&P 500 futures added 1.01%, giving semiconductor names a broad lift.

The move seemed to be more about the market than any company-specific news. Investors rotated back into tech ahead of the opening bell, and Intel, being one of the market's standout performers over the past year, naturally benefited. The stock is up a staggering 472.86% over the last 12 months, and that kind of momentum tends to attract buyers on any pullback, especially during risk-on sessions.

Bernstein Sees Improving Fundamentals

Investor sentiment also got a boost from Bernstein senior analyst Stacy Rasgon, who said on Friday that he feels better about Intel than he has in a long time. Speaking on CNBC, Rasgon highlighted stronger server CPU demand and a more supportive market backdrop. He noted that customers are still buying Intel's available server processors, even though the company has acknowledged its current products aren't the most competitive.

Rasgon also pointed to Intel's stronger balance sheet, thanks to investments from the U.S. government and strategic partners like NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA), SoftBank Group Corp. (SFTBY, SFTBF), and others. Tight foundry capacity across the industry—including wafer production and advanced packaging—is prompting more customers to consider Intel, he added.

But Rasgon didn't sugarcoat the challenges. Intel still needs to prove it can manufacture chips at scale, hit performance specs, control costs, and deliver on schedule. He noted that Intel's 18A-P process has entered risk production, which is a milestone, but the company has to show it can execute its roadmap. And while the stock's rally has been impressive, Rasgon said it's hard to justify on fundamentals alone—even though the narrative has improved. He also reminded that the semiconductor index is still up about 90% year-to-date and roughly 150% over the past year, so recent weakness in chip stocks should be seen in context.

Technical Picture Remains Bullish

Intel's chart looks strong. The stock is trading about 8.4% above its 20-day simple moving average of $119.42 and 19.5% above its 50-day SMA of $108.39. It's also well above its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting sustained buying momentum. The moving averages are in a bullish alignment, with the 20-day above the 50-day, and a golden cross that formed in August 2025 (when the 50-day crossed above the 200-day) continues to support the long-term trend.

The stock broke above a key resistance level in June and hit a new 52-week high later that month. While the trend is positive, traders might watch for a consolidation phase after the recent run-up. Momentum indicators like the MACD are above their signal line with a positive histogram, suggesting buying pressure is still building. The next resistance level to watch is around $133, a round number where sellers could step in.

Earnings and Analyst Outlook

Intel is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on July 23, 2026. Wall Street expects earnings of $0.19 per share, compared to a loss of $0.10 a year ago. Revenue is projected to rise to $14.40 billion from $12.86 billion.

Analysts currently have a Hold consensus on the stock, with an average price target of $86.41. Recent analyst actions include:

Goldman Sachs: Initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a $150 price target on June 25.
Bank of America Securities: Reiterated Buy and raised its price target to $160 on June 23.
Bank of America Securities: Upgraded to Buy and raised its price target to $135 on June 11.

Momentum and ETF Exposure

Intel carries a Momentum Score of 99.41, reflecting strong relative price performance and continued buying interest after pullbacks.

The stock is a significant holding in several ETFs, including the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) at 6.30%, the iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (VLUE) at 9.28%, and the Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK) at 7.85%. Large inflows or outflows in these funds can influence demand for Intel shares due to their portfolio weightings.