Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares were barely moving in Wednesday's premarket session, as investors weighed a slightly softer broader market against CEO Hock Tan's very bullish long-term story about artificial intelligence demand.
Nasdaq futures were down 0.16%, and S&P 500 futures slipped 0.09%. Nothing company-specific hit the wires this morning, but Broadcom is getting fresh attention on its rapidly growing AI business.
Tan laid out the opportunity at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference. He talked up custom silicon, deep hyperscaler partnerships, and rising infrastructure spending as key growth drivers. But he also threw some cold water on the party, warning that power availability and data center readiness could put a ceiling on how fast things can grow.
So Wednesday's muted premarket move seems more about the broader market and technical positioning. Broadcom is hovering right near its 200-day moving average, making that level an important test for the stock.
Broadcom Sees AI Revenue Doubling
Tan said Broadcom expects AI revenue to reach $115 billion in 2027 and then double to $230 billion in 2028. Importantly, he said those forecasts are constrained more by infrastructure availability than by customer demand.
On the chip supply side, Tan said Broadcom can largely secure critical components like wafers, memory, and substrates, making semiconductor constraints more predictable. The bigger uncertainty is power-ready sites. Electricity availability, transformers, permitting, and construction timelines are all threats to how quickly AI data centers can come online.
Customers need to prepare power sites well in advance to support the capacity they're planning for 2028, he said.
The AI boom could also generate serious cash. Broadcom expects free cash flow in the mid-$40 billion range in 2027, with more growth expected the following year.
Custom Silicon Drives AI Expansion
Custom silicon is at the heart of Broadcom's AI strategy. The company works closely with six frontier-model developers on custom XPU accelerators. OpenAI, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) unit Google, and Anthropic are among its customers.
Tan said this close collaboration lets Broadcom design chips around each customer's specific models and workloads. For example, Broadcom delivered its Jalapeño ASIC sample to OpenAI within nine months. The two companies are now working on the next two generations of the chip.
Broadcom has also signed an agreement to supply OpenAI with 10 gigawatts of custom silicon capacity.
Google Partnership Extends Through 2031
Tan also highlighted Broadcom's decade-long relationship with Google, which goes back to the first generation of Google's tensor processing units. Broadcom has a long-term agreement to supply Google with TPUs and networking products through 2031.
Tan said Broadcom's semiconductor design expertise, high-speed interconnect technology, multi-die integration, and advanced packaging give it an edge as customers look beyond traditional Moore's Law scaling.
Financing Helps Customers Expand Compute
Broadcom is also stepping in to help with the massive capital needs of the AI buildout. The company partnered with Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) and Blackstone Inc. (BX) on an infrastructure financing vehicle. The structure provides an initial $35 billion in financing for more than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity.
Tan said Broadcom provides residual guarantees on equipment rather than directly financing customer demand.
Meanwhile, rising cash generation could give Broadcom more flexibility to return capital to shareholders. Tan said higher dividends or share buybacks could be on the table when the board reviews capital allocation in December.
For investors, that long-term AI opportunity now sits against a more cautious near-term technical picture.
Technical Analysis
Broadcom is $7.17 below its 20-day simple moving average of $375.63 and $15.27 below its 50-day SMA of $383.73. That keeps the intermediate trend under pressure.
However, the stock is just $1.51 below its 200-day SMA of $369.97. That puts Broadcom near a key long-term trend level. Holding or reclaiming the 200-day SMA could strengthen the bullish case, while a decisive break below it could signal further weakness.
Broadcom's relative strength index stands at 46.14. That points to neutral-to-slightly-bearish momentum. It also means the stock is not yet oversold.
Meanwhile, the 20-day SMA remains below the 50-day SMA, signaling near-term weakness. However, the 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA. As a result, the golden cross formed in April remains intact.
Key resistance sits near $376.50, close to the 20-day SMA. Support is around $358 if selling pressure increases.
Analyst Outlook
Broadcom trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of about 47 times. Analysts have a consensus Buy rating and an average price forecast of $521.32.
Citigroup maintained a Buy rating and raised its price forecast to $515 on Sept. 4. DA Davidson maintained a Neutral rating and lowered its forecast to $350 the same day. Macquarie upgraded Broadcom to Outperform with a $490 price forecast on Sept. 3.
Price Action
Broadcom shares slipped 0.03% to $368.46 in Wednesday's premarket trading, according to market data.