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SoFi Stock Takes a Tumble: Why a Strong Earnings Beat Isn't Enough Today

MarketDash
SoFi shares fell sharply Friday, dragged down by a broader market sell-off despite the company's recent earnings beat and ambitious long-term growth targets. Here's what investors need to know about the technicals, analyst sentiment, and the disconnect between performance and price.

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It's one of those classic market head-scratchers. SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) just reported earnings that beat expectations, has ambitious growth plans on the horizon, and yet its stock is getting hammered. On Friday, shares were down a hefty 7.5%, trading around $17.65. The culprit? A good old-fashioned market-wide sell-off. When the major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq start sliding, even stocks with good news can get caught in the downdraft.

Let's rewind to the actual news. Back on January 30, SoFi reported a profit of 13 cents per share, edging out the analyst consensus of 12 cents. Revenue also saw a sharp jump, increasing by $273.72 million from the same quarter last year. The company isn't just looking at the next quarter, either. For the full year 2026—yes, they're looking that far out—SoFi expects total membership to grow at least 30% year-over-year and is projecting adjusted net revenue of approximately $4.655 billion, which also represents about 30% growth. That's a bold, long-term vision.

Reading the Charts: A Bearish Technical Picture

If you look at the stock's recent price action through a technical lens, the picture isn't pretty for the near term. SoFi is currently trading 13.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and a staggering 32.5% below its 100-day simple moving average. That tells you the bearish trend is holding strong over both the short and medium term. It's worth noting that over the past 12 months, the stock is still up about 25.55%, but it remains far below its 52-week high of $32.73. The ride has been volatile, to say the least.

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What Are the Analysts Saying?

All eyes are now on SoFi's next financial update, scheduled for April 28. The expectations are set high: analysts are forecasting earnings of 12 cents per share (up from 6 cents a year ago) and revenue of $1.05 billion (up from $770.72 million). One number that jumps out is the valuation: the stock sports a P/E ratio of 49.0x, which indicates the market is still pricing in a significant premium for its growth story.

The overall analyst consensus sits at a Hold rating, with an average price target of $24.72. But there's been some notable movement recently that suggests growing optimism from certain quarters:

  • Truist Securities maintained a Hold but lowered its price target to $21.00 on February 18.
  • Citizens upgraded the stock to Market Outperform with a $30.00 target on February 9.
  • JP Morgan upgraded it to Overweight with a $31.00 target on February 3.

Those last two upgrades are particularly bullish signals from major firms.

In terms of market data scores, which compare a company's profile to the broader market, SoFi shows a stark contrast. Its Growth score is a very strong 95.56, pointing to robust potential. However, its Momentum score is a more moderate 40.76, reflecting the mixed and challenging performance signals it's currently sending to the market.

So, what's the takeaway for investors? Friday's drop seems to be more about the market's mood than SoFi's fundamentals. The company is executing on its plan and analysts are starting to take more bullish stances. But with a premium valuation and trading below its key technical levels, the stock remains a high-risk, high-potential-reward play that's sensitive to broader economic winds. The disconnect between strong company performance and a falling stock price is a classic tension in growth investing, and SoFi is living it in real-time this Friday.

SoFi Stock Takes a Tumble: Why a Strong Earnings Beat Isn't Enough Today

MarketDash
SoFi shares fell sharply Friday, dragged down by a broader market sell-off despite the company's recent earnings beat and ambitious long-term growth targets. Here's what investors need to know about the technicals, analyst sentiment, and the disconnect between performance and price.

Get BlackRock Finance Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS alerts

It's one of those classic market head-scratchers. SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) just reported earnings that beat expectations, has ambitious growth plans on the horizon, and yet its stock is getting hammered. On Friday, shares were down a hefty 7.5%, trading around $17.65. The culprit? A good old-fashioned market-wide sell-off. When the major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq start sliding, even stocks with good news can get caught in the downdraft.

Let's rewind to the actual news. Back on January 30, SoFi reported a profit of 13 cents per share, edging out the analyst consensus of 12 cents. Revenue also saw a sharp jump, increasing by $273.72 million from the same quarter last year. The company isn't just looking at the next quarter, either. For the full year 2026—yes, they're looking that far out—SoFi expects total membership to grow at least 30% year-over-year and is projecting adjusted net revenue of approximately $4.655 billion, which also represents about 30% growth. That's a bold, long-term vision.

Reading the Charts: A Bearish Technical Picture

If you look at the stock's recent price action through a technical lens, the picture isn't pretty for the near term. SoFi is currently trading 13.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and a staggering 32.5% below its 100-day simple moving average. That tells you the bearish trend is holding strong over both the short and medium term. It's worth noting that over the past 12 months, the stock is still up about 25.55%, but it remains far below its 52-week high of $32.73. The ride has been volatile, to say the least.

Get BlackRock Finance Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS (optional)

What Are the Analysts Saying?

All eyes are now on SoFi's next financial update, scheduled for April 28. The expectations are set high: analysts are forecasting earnings of 12 cents per share (up from 6 cents a year ago) and revenue of $1.05 billion (up from $770.72 million). One number that jumps out is the valuation: the stock sports a P/E ratio of 49.0x, which indicates the market is still pricing in a significant premium for its growth story.

The overall analyst consensus sits at a Hold rating, with an average price target of $24.72. But there's been some notable movement recently that suggests growing optimism from certain quarters:

  • Truist Securities maintained a Hold but lowered its price target to $21.00 on February 18.
  • Citizens upgraded the stock to Market Outperform with a $30.00 target on February 9.
  • JP Morgan upgraded it to Overweight with a $31.00 target on February 3.

Those last two upgrades are particularly bullish signals from major firms.

In terms of market data scores, which compare a company's profile to the broader market, SoFi shows a stark contrast. Its Growth score is a very strong 95.56, pointing to robust potential. However, its Momentum score is a more moderate 40.76, reflecting the mixed and challenging performance signals it's currently sending to the market.

So, what's the takeaway for investors? Friday's drop seems to be more about the market's mood than SoFi's fundamentals. The company is executing on its plan and analysts are starting to take more bullish stances. But with a premium valuation and trading below its key technical levels, the stock remains a high-risk, high-potential-reward play that's sensitive to broader economic winds. The disconnect between strong company performance and a falling stock price is a classic tension in growth investing, and SoFi is living it in real-time this Friday.