So, Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) had its quarterly chat with investors. The home improvement giant reported third-quarter financial results that, in a nutshell, show a company treading water in a choppy market but building a pretty interesting boat for the future.
Sales came in at $20.8 billion, with comparable sales nudging up 0.4% year-over-year. That's not exactly explosive growth, but management was quick to point out they were lapping some storm-related demand from last year, which was a roughly 100 basis point headwind. Adjusted earnings per share landed at $3.06, a 6% increase. The story here isn't about a red-hot housing market—it's about execution, technology, and strategic bets while waiting for the consumer to feel more confident.
The AI Handyman Is In
If you thought AI was just for tech bros, think again. Lowe's is all in. Chairman and CEO Marvin Ellison spent a good chunk of the call talking about their "AI framework" designed to improve how they sell, shop, and work.
The star of the show is "Milo," a virtual assistant built on an OpenAI platform. It's answering nearly a million customer questions a month about product specs, projects, and order status. Here’s the kicker: when customers chat with Milo online, their conversion rate more than doubles. That’s a direct line from AI chatter to cash register. In stores, associates use "Milo Companion," and it’s boosting customer satisfaction scores by 200 basis points.
Ellison noted that every interaction trains their proprietary models, building what he called a "durable advantage in home improvement expertise." The company's tech team is also using AI for coding, leading to double-digit productivity gains. So significant is their adoption that OpenAI recently gave Lowe's a "100 billion token milestone award," putting them in what Ellison described as "an elite tier of companies that are not just experimenting with AI, but operating at a true enterprise scale."
Building Out the Pro Empire
A major theme was the continued focus on professional customers, particularly the small to medium-sized pro. This segment saw growth again this quarter. The strategy hinges on a few things: the MyLowe’s Pro Rewards loyalty program, competitive financing (including a 5% everyday discount for cardholders), and a big bet on two acquisitions.
In October, Lowe's completed its $8.8 billion acquisition of Foundation Building Materials (FBM), a leading distributor of interior building products like drywall and insulation. Why does this matter? FBM’s business is evenly split between commercial and residential. When housing is soft, commercial can pick up the slack—and management highlighted recent FBM projects including data centers and medical facilities.
For Lowe's, FBM provides a more comprehensive product portfolio for Pros and, crucially, vastly improved fulfillment for large, bulky orders like drywall. Ellison said they're already working to connect FBM’s catalog to Lowe's "Pro Extended Aisle" platform, allowing associates to sell directly from supplier catalogs with delivery to the job site.
Combined with the earlier acquisition of Artisan Design Group (ADG), Lowe's is stitching together a full-service interior solutions package for home builders, from the drywall (FBM) to the cabinets and appliances (ADG).
CFO Brandon Sink provided the financial fine print on these deals. They financed FBM with $5 billion in bonds (at a weighted average coupon of 4.38%), a $2 billion term loan, and cash. The acquisitions will pressure margins: about 20 basis points in 2025, ramping up to a 50 basis point annualized headwind in 2026, mostly on the gross margin line. Share buybacks are paused as they focus on integration and deleveraging to a target of 2.75x debt-to-EBITDAR by mid-2027.
The Macro: Anxious but Equity-Rich
Let's talk about the consumer, because that's the cloud over everything. Ellison's take is nuanced. "Overall, the U.S. homeowner remains healthy, balance sheets are strong and consumers continue to spend," he said. "However, affordability and uncertainty in the broader economy continue to weigh on consumer confidence, particularly when it comes to larger discretionary purchases."
The unique twist in this cycle is what he called the "lock-in effect." Homeowners are sitting on record equity—about $400,000 on average—but are reluctant to sell and give up their historic, sub-3% mortgage rates. The potential catalyst? Home equity lines of credit (HELOCs).
"We think HELOCs are going to become the next opportunity for us to drive discretionary remodel big ticket projects," Ellison said. CFO Brandon Sink added that with the Fed having cut rates 150 basis points over the last 18 months, HELOC rates have already fallen from 10-12% to 8-10%. More cuts could make this funding source even more attractive for the estimated $50 billion in projects consumers have delayed.
Merchandising Wins and a New Marketplace
On the store floor, EVP of Merchandising Bill Boltz highlighted some bright spots. The company saw positive comparable sales in 10 of its 14 merchandise divisions. Appliances posted its fourth straight quarter of comp and unit growth, bolstered by next-day delivery and installation capabilities. An exclusive new Bosch hybrid tub dishwasher line launched only at Lowe's.
In paint, they co-launched a Sherwin-Williams Quick Dry Primer, a first-of-its-kind partnership. Kitchen and bath turned positive, driven in part by a completed reset of bathroom vanity showrooms. Boltz also mentioned the early launch of a private brand pet line, "Heart & Herd," as part of expanding assortments into areas like workwear and pet supplies.
Then there's the new online marketplace. It's early days, but Ellison said it's "exceeding expectations" for financial performance and seller quality. A key feature: anything bought via the marketplace can be returned to a physical Lowe's store, a convenience lever many pure online players can't match. Boltz said it's helping them discover new products and expand assortments from current vendors.
Guidance and the Road Ahead
Given the "cautious consumer" backdrop, the company tempered its full-year outlook. They now expect comparable sales to be roughly flat for the year, at the bottom end of their previous range. Including about $1.3 billion in Q4 sales from FBM, total sales are expected to be approximately $86 billion.
Adjusted operating margin is projected at about 12.1% (including 20 bps of dilution from the acquisitions), and adjusted EPS is expected around $12.25, representing 2% growth over the prior year.
When asked about 2026, management was cautious but pointed to reasons for optimism: accelerating comp trends when excluding storm impacts, ongoing strength in Pro and online, early signs of life in home services, and the integration of FBM and ADG. They'll provide formal 2026 guidance in February.
The call wrapped with a focus on the associates and a new philanthropic initiative called "Freedom Hill" in partnership with Building Homes for Heroes, which will provide mortgage-free housing for injured veterans and first responders.
So, what's the takeaway? Lowe's is playing the long game. They're not counting on a housing boom to save the quarter. Instead, they're investing in AI, building out a omnichannel ecosystem, acquiring strategic assets, and betting that when homeowners finally decide to tap their equity, Lowe's will be the most convenient, tech-savvy, and well-supplied place for them to shop.











