Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) is catching a bid in premarket trading Tuesday as investors position themselves ahead of the company's fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings release. But the enthusiasm comes with a heavy dose of technical caution.
Reddit Stock Climbs Ahead of Earnings Despite Bearish Technical Signals
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Earnings Day Approaches
The social media platform will host its conference call on Feb. 5 to walk through the numbers. This comes after the broader market posted gains in the previous session, with the Technology sector advancing 0.58%.
Technical Picture Looks Rough
Here's where things get interesting. Reddit is currently trading 19.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and 17.4% below its 100-day SMA. That's not great—it signals bearish momentum in both the short and medium term. Over the past year, shares have dropped 12.44%, and the stock is hanging much closer to its 52-week lows than highs.
The RSI sits at 27.71, which is oversold territory. That typically suggests a stock might be undervalued and due for a bounce. But here's the catch: MACD is trading below its signal line, pointing to continued bearish pressure. So you've got an oversold stock that's still trending downward—a mixed bag that makes timing tricky.
- Key Resistance: $213.00
- Key Support: $178.00
What Analysts Are Expecting
The Street is looking for solid growth when Reddit reports:
- EPS Estimate: $0.94 (Up from $0.36 YoY)
- Revenue Estimate: $667.33 million (Up from $427.71 million YoY)
- Valuation: P/E of 81.6x (Indicates premium valuation)
Analyst Consensus & Recent Moves:
The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price target of $227.90. Recent analyst activity includes:
- Roth Capital: Neutral (Raises Target to $215.00) (Jan. 30)
- Guggenheim: Buy (Maintains Target to $245.00) (Jan. 23)
- Morgan Stanley: Overweight (Raises Target to $265.00) (Jan. 13)
Valuation Insight: Sure, Reddit trades at a premium P/E multiple of 81.6x, but analysts seem comfortable with that given the expected 161% earnings growth. That projected growth helps justify the 33.52% upside to their average target.
Scorecard Shows Weakness
Looking at the broader picture, Reddit's fundamentals show some challenges compared to the market:
- Value: Weak (Score: 7.42) — Trading at a steep premium relative to peers.
- Momentum: Weak (Score: 13.96) — Stock is underperforming the broader market.
RDDT Price Action: Reddit shares were up 2.17% at $181.00 during premarket trading on Tuesday.
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