Kinder Morgan Beats Q4 Estimates and Raises Dividend Despite Trimming 2026 Guidance

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Strong Quarter, Modest Outlook Adjustment
Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) posted fourth-quarter results Wednesday that beat Wall Street's expectations on both the top and bottom lines. The energy infrastructure company brought in $4.51 billion in revenue, comfortably ahead of the $4.31 billion consensus estimate. Adjusted earnings came in at 39 cents per share versus the 37-cent forecast.
The quarter showed meaningful improvement from last year. Net income attributable to the company hit $996 million compared to $667 million in the same period a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 10% year-over-year to approximately $2.27 billion.
What's driving the momentum? A massive backlog. Kinder Morgan highlighted its $10 billion project pipeline, with natural gas projects accounting for about 90% of that total. That's a reflection of where energy demand is headed.
"It is particularly gratifying to maintain leadership in our sector by staying true to our original vision: owning midstream energy assets anchored by long-term, take-or-pay, fee-based contracts with creditworthy customers," said Richard Kinder, executive chairman of Kinder Morgan.
"I have no doubt that we will continue delivering strong growth, reliable performance, and sustained value for many years to come."
Dividend Bump, Guidance Dip
Shareholders got good news on the dividend front. The board approved a cash dividend of $0.2925 per share for the fourth quarter, up 2% year-over-year. The payment goes out February 17 to shareholders of record as of February 2. For all of 2026, Kinder Morgan expects to declare dividends totaling $1.19 per share.
Here's the twist: despite the strong quarter and dividend increase, the company nudged its full-year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance down a penny, from $1.37 to $1.36 per share. That's still 5% growth compared to 2025, so it's not exactly a concerning downgrade.
The company's budgeted net income for 2026 sits at $3.1 billion, flat compared to 2025 due to a gain on an asset sale. Strip out certain items, and adjusted net income is expected to grow 5% year-over-year.
Management planned to dig into the details further during a conference call with investors and analysts at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Market Reaction
Kinder Morgan shares traded up 0.84% to $28.82 in after-hours trading following the earnings release.
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