Sometimes the most interesting thing about a stock move is what didn't happen around it. On Friday, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) rose nearly 2% while the S&P 500 fell 0.43% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.16%. The Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.21%, propped up by technology strength. So AMD didn't just go up. It went up in a market that was, broadly speaking, going down.
AMD Stock Rises 1.8% Friday as Chip Buyers Ignore a Weak Market
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Chip Stocks Buck Market Weakness
Investors favored select technology stocks Friday as broader market sentiment stayed weak. Only two of the S&P 500's 11 sectors advanced, and the advance-decline ratio stood near 0.2, meaning declining stocks sharply outnumbered gainers. Technology rose 0.63%, making it the second-best performing sector behind energy, which gained 2.50%.
AMD outperformed the technology sector by about 1.18 percentage points, which suggests investors were selectively buying semiconductor and AI-related stocks rather than making a broad sector bet. The sector itself remains under pressure, though. Technology fell 6.09% over the past 30 days despite gaining 5.25% over the past 90 days.
Technical Analysis: Long-Term Uptrend Faces Pressure
AMD remains in a long-term uptrend but faces near-term technical challenges. The stock trades 28.4% above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $402.08, and its 50-day SMA remains above its 200-day SMA, signaling a positive longer-term trend.
The shorter-term picture is less comfortable. AMD trades 12.1% below its 20-day SMA of $587.20 and 4.8% below its 50-day SMA of $542.27. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator remains below its signal line, suggesting buying momentum has weakened. Traders are watching resistance near $517.50, followed by the 50-day SMA at $542.27. Support stands near $440.50.
Earnings Preview: Wall Street Expects Strong Growth
AMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings Nov. 3. Analysts expect earnings of $1.95 per share, up from $1.20 a year earlier. Revenue is projected to reach $13.08 billion, compared with $9.25 billion last year. The company continues to expand its AI accelerator business while competing in the data center, PC and gaming markets.
However, AMD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 129.6, reflecting high investor expectations for future growth. That is the tension in a nutshell: the business is growing fast, and the stock already assumes it will keep growing fast.
Analysts Remain Bullish On AMD
AMD carries a consensus Buy rating, with an average price forecast of $642.55. Recent analyst actions include:
- Susquehanna: Maintained a Positive rating and raised its price forecast to $620 on Oct. 21.
- Wedbush: Maintained an Outperform rating and a $600 price forecast on Oct. 20.
- Citigroup: Maintained a Buy rating and raised its price forecast to $800 on Oct. 6.
Growth And Valuation Risks In The Rankings
AMD's Edge rankings show strong growth, momentum and quality scores but a weak valuation reading. The stock received a momentum score of 97.93, a growth score of 94.55 and a quality score of 93.33. However, its value score stood at just 3.75, suggesting investors are paying a premium for the company's growth prospects. The contrast puts greater pressure on AMD to deliver strong earnings and guidance when it reports results in November.
ETFs Offering Exposure To AMD
Investors can gain indirect exposure to AMD through several semiconductor and artificial intelligence-focused exchange-traded funds. These include iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), Defiance Inference AI Chip ETF (AINF) and Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF (IGPT). These funds provide exposure to AMD alongside other companies benefiting from growing demand for AI infrastructure and semiconductor technology.
AMD Stock Price Action
AMD shares rose 1.80% to $517.05 at the time of publication Friday, according to market data.
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