Six Flags Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:FUN) had a rough Wednesday. The stock dropped more than 9% after Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker maintained a Buy rating but slashed his price forecast from $28 to $17. That's a big cut, even for a stock that's already been beaten up.
The shares also fell below their previous 52-week low of $7.95, which could trigger additional technical selling. Because nothing says "fun" like a broken support level.
Meanwhile, the broader market was having a perfectly nice day. The Nasdaq gained 1.37%, the S&P 500 rose 0.64%, and the consumer discretionary sector advanced 0.42%. Six Flags, apparently, did not get the memo.
Wall Street Is Sharpening Its Pencils
Baker isn't alone in trimming expectations. Several analysts have lowered their price forecasts for Six Flags in recent weeks. The stock still carries a Buy consensus rating, with an average price forecast of $20.22. That's optimistic compared to where shares are actually trading.
On Oct. 16, UBS analyst Arpine Kocharyan maintained a Buy rating but lowered the price forecast from $27 to $18. Citigroup analyst James Hardiman kept a Neutral rating and reduced his price forecast from $17 to $13 on Oct. 8. And Truist Securities lowered its price forecast from $28 to $22 on Sept. 10 while maintaining a Buy rating.
So the direction of travel is clear, even if the ratings aren't.
Safety Concerns and Legal Scrutiny Weigh on Shares
The bigger problem is why those targets are coming down. Six Flags shares recently hit multiyear lows following reports of a fatal roller coaster incident at Six Flags Over Georgia. The stock plunged approximately 14.4% on Oct. 13 as investors reacted to the news.
On top of that, Six Flags faces a securities-related legal investigation into allegations that the company misled investors about safety, maintenance and ride reliability. The company has also faced scrutiny over safety concerns involving the X2 roller coaster at Six Flags Magic Mountain in Southern California.
For a company whose entire business is convincing people to strap into thrill rides, safety is not a side issue. It's the product.
Activist Investor Pushes for a Sale, But the Timing Is Awkward
The stock's decline and ongoing legal concerns could complicate activist investor Jana Partners' efforts to push for a sale. In October 2025, Jana joined forces with NFL star Travis Kelce and other investors to acquire a stake representing approximately 9% of Six Flags.
Since then, the group has pressed for strategic changes, including board changes, leadership accountability, revised financial guidance and potential asset sales. In September, Jana renewed its call for Six Flags to explore a sale of the entire company, Bloomberg reported.
But selling a company is easier when the headlines are about attendance growth and season passes, not investigations and incidents. Potential buyers tend to notice those things.
The Technical Picture Is Ugly
Six Flags remains in a steep downtrend, with shares falling below their previous 52-week low of $7.95. The stock trades 33.4% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), 46.7% below its 50-day SMA and nearly 60% below both its 100-day and 200-day SMAs.
The 20-day SMA remains below the 50-day SMA. In addition, a bearish death cross formed in September when the 50-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 20.61, indicating deeply oversold conditions. Oversold can mean a bounce is due, or it can mean the market is telling you something. With Six Flags, it's been the latter lately.
What to Watch: Earnings on Nov. 5
Investors are now looking ahead to Six Flags' next earnings report, scheduled for Nov. 5. Analysts expect earnings of $1.99 per share, down from $3.28 a year earlier. Revenue is projected to decline to $1.17 billion from $1.32 billion in the year-ago quarter.
That's a meaningful step down, and it will be the first real test of whether the safety headlines are hitting attendance and spending or just the stock price.
FUN Price Action: Six Flags shares fell 9.16% to $7.14 at the time of publication Wednesday. The stock is trading at a new 52-week low, according to market data.