Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) thinks Democrats might be riding a wave this November. On Wednesday, he shared a post on X from journalist G. Elliott Morris highlighting a new Economist/YouGov poll that shows Democrats leading Republicans 49% to 38% among likely voters on the House vote.
"An 11 point advantage for Democrats on the generic congressional ballot among likely voters points to a blue tsunami," Lieu wrote. He didn't stop there: "Even if that advantage was cut in half, we still flip the House. (Although with gas prices rising I don't see how the GOP gains ground.)" And for good measure: "November is coming."
Morris noted that the poll was based on named candidates, not the usual generic congressional ballot. "New YouGov/Economist poll out this AM has Democrats up 11 points on the House vote among likely voters," he wrote. He added that his testing with Cooperative Election Study data found the named-candidate measure was "typically more accurate in forecasting outcomes."
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump used his Labor Day message on Monday to criticize Democrats and predict a major Republican victory in the 2026 midterms. He accused the "Radical Left" of trying to "destroy our Country" and said Democrats would make "one last shot at ruining America."
In other midterm maneuvering, House Speaker Mike Johnson reportedly met with Elon Musk, fueling speculation that the Tesla Inc. (TSLA) CEO could financially support House Republicans. Musk was reportedly planning to spend more than $100 million on the midterms, with some funds potentially backing GOP House candidates through America PAC.
Democrats are making their own push. On Tuesday, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi criticized Trump administration policies and urged Democrats to vote out MAGA Republicans. Last week, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) said Democrats could overcome GOP spending advantages through grassroots organizing and voter outreach. And in August, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R-N.J.) warned that Trump's low approval among independents could lead Republicans in competitive races to distance themselves from him.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by MarketDash editors.
