Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE: CRCL) is having a rough Monday, with shares extending Friday's losses as a mix of crypto market weakness, regulatory headwinds, and analyst price target cuts dampen sentiment ahead of the company's upcoming earnings report.
Why Circle Stock Is Falling on Monday
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Regulatory Uncertainty Slows Momentum
Crypto-linked assets are feeling the pressure as investors grow less optimistic about legislative progress. In a Wednesday report cited by CoinDesk, JPMorgan analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou pegged the probability of the CLARITY Act passing this Congressional session at just 37%.
"The longer the approval of the Clarity Act is postponed, the greater the threat to crypto markets from the growth of tokenization and blockchain-based applications eventually being absorbed by incumbent market infrastructure rather than accruing to public crypto networks," the analysts wrote.
Sen. Cynthia Lummis, R-Wyo., expressed frustration on X on Wednesday ahead of the Senate's summer recess: "After nearly 11 months of giving almost everything asked of us, I genuinely don't know what else my Democrat colleagues need before we act."
Declines across digital asset markets added to the sell-off. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) pulled back, while Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN) reported second-quarter results Thursday that further dampened broader market sentiment.
Analysts Cut Price Forecasts
Bernstein lowered its price forecast on Circle by 26% on Wednesday, cutting its price forecast from $190 to $140.
Mizuho upgraded the stock to Neutral while lowering its target to $45 on July 31.
Previously, Raymond James initiated coverage at Market Perform on July 22, while Mizuho downgraded the stock to Underperform with a $50 price forecast on July 14. The stock currently maintains a Buy rating with an average target of $109.58.
Upcoming Earnings Release
Circle schedules its second-quarter earnings release for Wednesday. Wall Street projects earnings of 19 cents per stock compared with a loss of 43 cents per stock a year earlier, alongside projected revenue growth to $734.7 million from $658.1 million.
CRCL Stock Price Activity: Circle Internet Group shares were down 6.06% at $58.81 during premarket trading on Monday, according to market data.
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