Nokia (Nokia (NOK)) shares took a hit on Tuesday, but it's not because the company suddenly hit a rough patch. The culprit is something far more mundane: the stock went ex-dividend.
Tuesday is the ex-dividend date for Nokia's quarterly payout of 4 euro cents (about 5 cents) per share. When a stock goes ex-dividend, the price automatically adjusts downward by roughly the dividend amount to reflect that the cash is leaving the company's books. So a 5% drop? That's mostly just math, not panic.
Still, there's a bit more to the story. The move also reflects some profit-taking and lingering caution after Nokia's July 23 earnings call, where the company beat Wall Street expectations. Investors are digesting the results and figuring out what comes next.
Q2 Performance and AI Growth
Nokia's second-quarter results were actually quite strong. Revenue rose 8% year-over-year to 4.82 billion euros, and adjusted earnings of 8 cents per share topped analyst estimates. The star of the show was AI data center demand, which helped drive a doubling of AI and cloud revenue. That segment now accounts for 9.3% of total sales, and Nokia raised its full-year operating profit outlook as a result.
CEO Justin Hotard struck a cautious note on supply, however. He said memory supply constraints are likely to persist through 2027 as AI infrastructure demand continues to outpace supply. That's a headwind, but it also underscores just how strong the demand tailwind is.
Nokia Stock: Key Levels to Watch
Coming into Tuesday's session at $9.11, Nokia was already trading 20.6% below its 20-day SMA ($11.36) and 32.2% below its 50-day SMA ($13.30). That's a clear sign the intermediate trend has been under pressure. But here's the interesting part: the stock is essentially flat versus its 200-day SMA ($9.09), making this area a "make-or-break" zone for longer-term trend followers.
The MACD indicator offers a cleaner read on momentum right now. It's below its signal line, and the histogram is negative, suggesting momentum is fading relative to the prior upswing. From a structural perspective, Nokia still has a "golden cross" in place from October (the 50-day SMA above the 200-day SMA), which is typically bullish. But the shorter-term alignment is bearish, with the 20-day SMA below the 50-day SMA. That mix often produces choppy trading, where rallies can stall quickly until price can reclaim those faster averages.
At the time of publication Tuesday, Nokia shares were down 5.55% at $8.76. For a stock with strong AI momentum and a dividend that just reset the price, it's a day of technical noise rather than fundamental alarm.