GE Vernova (GE Vernova (GEV)) shares took a hit Wednesday after the company reported second-quarter earnings that left investors wanting more. The headline numbers tell a tale of two halves: revenue came in hot, but earnings fell short of what Wall Street was expecting.
Diluted earnings per share of $2.47 missed the consensus estimate of $3.13. That's a decent-sized miss, and the market reacted accordingly, sending shares down about 6.8% to $1,008.75. But dig a little deeper, and there's a lot more going on beneath the surface.
Revenue rose 22% year over year to $11.104 billion, topping the $10.734 billion analysts had penciled in. Net income climbed to $649 million from $492 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA jumped 62% to $1.25 billion, with margins expanding to 11.3% from 8.5% — a sign that the company is getting more efficient, even if the bottom line didn't quite hit the mark.
Equipment revenue led the charge, surging 32% to $6.46 billion, while services revenue grew a more modest 10% to $4.65 billion.
Orders and Backlog: The Real Story
If there's one number that jumps off the page, it's orders. Total orders surged 88% organically to $24.22 billion, powered by a 130% explosion in equipment orders. Services orders also grew, up 15%. That kind of demand suggests customers are betting big on GE Vernova's products, especially in power generation.
The backlog swelled to $176.3 billion, up $13 billion from the previous quarter and $47.6 billion from a year ago. Management expects that number to hit $200 billion by 2027. That's a lot of future revenue already locked in.
Segment Performance: Power and Electrification Shine, Wind Struggles
Breaking it down by segment, Power was a star. Revenue rose 14% to $5.48 billion, and EBITDA increased to $1.03 billion, with margins expanding to 18.8%. Orders more than doubled to $16.73 billion. GE Vernova signed 20 gigawatts of new gas contracts, converted 10 gigawatts of reservations, and shipped 3 gigawatts. Backlog and slot reservations hit 116 gigawatts, with expectations to reach at least 125 gigawatts by year-end.
Electrification was even more impressive. Revenue jumped 68% to $3.64 billion, including the Prolec GE acquisition, and grew 29% organically. EBITDA more than doubled to $671 million, with margins improving to 18.4%. Orders climbed 66% organically to $6.35 billion, and backlog rose 69% to $40.6 billion. First-half data-center orders alone exceeded $5 billion — a clear sign that the AI and cloud boom is driving demand for electrical infrastructure.
Then there's Wind. It remains the sore thumb. Wind orders plunged 40% organically to $1.2 billion, as U.S. Onshore Wind demand stayed weak. Revenue fell 10% to $2.03 billion, and the segment's EBITDA loss widened to $275 million from $165 million a year earlier, hurt by lower Onshore Wind deliveries and higher Offshore Wind project costs. It's a reminder that not all parts of the energy transition are moving at the same speed.
Cash and Capital Returns
Cash flow was a bright spot. Operating cash flow soared to $5.49 billion from $367 million a year ago, and free cash flow jumped to $5.11 billion from $194 million. The company ended the quarter with $13.1 billion in cash and has returned $3.9 billion to shareholders year to date, including $3.7 billion through share repurchases. During the quarter, it bought back about 2.5 million shares for $2.3 billion and paid a quarterly dividend of 50 cents per share.
Management's Take
On the earnings call, management painted a picture of robust demand. Gas demand is broad, with Southeast Asia accelerating. First-half gas-equipment pricing rose more than 20% from fourth-quarter 2025 levels, and service orders per unit grew at double-digit rates. Contracted gas capacity should keep rising over the next six quarters, though management stopped short of calling 2026 the peak order year.
Aeroderivative turbines are gaining traction as interim power solutions, and data-center content per gigawatt could eventually increase two to three times, with the larger opportunity expected from 2027. But there were cautionary notes too: second-half free cash flow will be materially lower as slot-reservation deposits ease, and U.S. Onshore Wind orders remain uncertain amid permitting delays and Section 232 tariffs.
Raised Outlook
Despite the earnings miss, management raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $45.5 billion-$46.5 billion, above the $45.45 billion analyst estimate. Free cash flow guidance was lifted to $11.5 billion-$12.5 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was maintained at 12%-14%.
So what's the takeaway? GE Vernova is firing on most cylinders, but the Wind business is a persistent drag, and the earnings miss shows that even strong revenue growth doesn't always translate to the bottom line. The raised guidance suggests management sees the momentum continuing, but the stock's reaction shows that investors are focused on the here and now. For a company with this much long-term potential, the market is demanding proof in the quarterly numbers.