IBM Corp (IBM) turned in a fourth-quarter performance Wednesday that had investors feeling pretty good about Big Blue's trajectory. The stock jumped over 8% in after-hours trading as the company showed it's actually executing on the whole AI transformation story, not just talking about it.
IBM Stock Jumps 8% After Strong Quarter Shows AI Momentum Building
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The Numbers That Moved the Needle
IBM reported Q4 revenue of $19.69 billion, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $19.23 billion. Adjusted earnings came in at $4.52 per share, topping the $4.32 analysts were expecting. Total revenue climbed 12% compared to the same quarter last year.
The growth wasn't evenly distributed, which actually tells an interesting story. Infrastructure revenue jumped 21% as customers embraced the new mainframe platform. Software revenue grew 14%, while Consulting posted a more modest 3% gain. It's the kind of mix that suggests real product demand rather than just consulting-driven sales.
On the cash front, IBM generated $4 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter, with free cash flow hitting $7.6 billion. The company closed the period holding $14.5 billion in cash, restricted cash, and marketable securities.
The AI Business Is Actually Real
"In the fourth quarter, we delivered strong revenue growth, with double-digit Software performance. Additionally, Infrastructure continued its double-digit revenue growth with the robust adoption of the next generation of our mainframe platform. Our generative AI book of business now stands at more than $12.5 billion," said Arvind Krishna, chairman, president and CEO of IBM.
That $12.5 billion AI figure is worth paying attention to. It's actual booked business, not just pipeline or potential deals.
Looking Ahead to 2026
IBM expects full-year 2026 revenue of $70.91 billion versus estimates of $70.14 billion, representing constant currency revenue growth exceeding 5%. Free cash flow should increase by roughly $1 billion year-over-year.
"We enter 2026 with momentum and in a position of strength, giving us confidence in our full-year expectations," Krishna said.
The board also approved a quarterly dividend of $1.68 per share, payable March 10 to shareholders of record as of February 10.
IBM Price Action: IBM shares were trading up 8.22% at $318.29 in after-hours action Wednesday.
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