Five days. That is how long Katie Zacharia lasted as White House Press Secretary before being removed, a tenure short enough to make a long weekend feel like a full term. She had been appointed to replace Karoline Leavitt, who left the administration in late August, and had joined Trump Media as a senior communications adviser in June. Controversies around her legal career followed her into the briefing room, and the prediction markets wasted no time betting on her ouster.

Eight Million Dollars of Pure Speculation

Now the betting crowd has moved on to the next question: who leaves the Trump administration next? Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows more than $8 million has been bet on the contract "Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?"

Ric Grenell, the Special Presidential Envoy for Special Missions, has emerged as the first bet, with a probability of 58% according to bettors. Susie Wiles is next at 42%, a number that has recorded a 19% surge. Amy Gleason, the Acting Administrator of DOGE, sits third at 30%.

Hegseth Watch

The market is also taking bets on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who has been under scrutiny after articles of impeachment were filed against him. Bettors have placed a 62% probability that Hegseth will be out "Before Feb 1, 2027."

Disclaimer: Kalshi and MarketDash have an existing data collaboration agreement.