U.S. Bancorp (USB) did that thing banks sometimes do: it reported a genuinely strong quarter, beat on earnings, raised its full-year outlook, and then watched its stock trade lower anyway. Shares were down 1.55% at $55.39 in premarket trading Thursday, according to market data.
Here is what happened. Adjusted earnings came in at $1.34 per share, a penny ahead of the $1.33 analyst consensus. Revenue rose to $7.95 billion, which was just shy of the $8.01 billion Wall Street was looking for. Net income attributable to U.S. Bancorp climbed 10% year over year to $2.2 billion, and earnings per share rose 9.8% from $1.22 a year earlier.
So: a beat on the bottom line, a hair of a miss on the top line, and a market that shrugged. Welcome to bank earnings season.
Record Revenue, Better Margins
The headline number management wants you to notice is record total net revenue of $7.97 billion, up 8.7% year over year. Taxable-equivalent net interest income increased 5.6% to $4.49 billion, and fee revenue jumped 14.9%.
The net interest margin, which is basically the spread a bank earns between what it pays for deposits and what it collects on loans, expanded 9 basis points to 2.84% from 2.75% a year earlier. That improvement came from fixed asset repricing and a better asset mix, which is banker-speak for "our loans are earning more and our funding costs are behaving."
Return on average assets improved to 1.25%, and return on tangible common equity reached 18.5%. The efficiency ratio stood at 55.9%, reflecting positive operating leverage of 240 basis points from a year earlier. Translation: the bank grew revenue faster than it grew expenses, which is the whole game.
Loans and Deposits Keep Growing
Average loans increased 8% to $409.55 billion. Total commercial loans, including lease financing, rose 12.3%, commercial real estate loans grew 9.8%, and credit card balances climbed 11.5%.
On the deposit side, average deposits increased 2.9% to $526.60 billion. Growth came from higher savings balances in Consumer and Business Banking and increased money market deposits in Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking. Savings balances jumped 26.2%, while time deposits declined 19.3%, which is a fancy way of saying customers moved money into accounts that pay them better.
Capital Markets Revenue Surges Nearly 70%
Noninterest income increased 13.1% to $3.48 billion, while total fee revenue climbed 14.9% to $3.55 billion.
The standout: capital markets revenue surged 69.3% to $640 million. Trust and investment management fees rose 9.9%, and corporate payment and treasury management revenue increased 12.3%. Merchant processing services revenue slipped 0.4%, which the bank attributed to seasonal factors.
Payment Services segment revenue grew 6.5% to approximately $1.87 billion, supported by higher loan balances and payment volumes.
BTIG Is Already Pulling Its Weight
The BTIG acquisition contributed $223 million to the bank's $640 million in capital markets fee revenue during the quarter. Capital markets fee revenue accounted for approximately 8% of total net revenue, and management wants to push that above 10% over the next three to five years.
BTIG also added $213 million in noninterest expenses, including $22 million in merger-related integration and intangible amortization costs. Buying growth is rarely free, but so far this one looks like it is paying for itself.
Credit Quality Improves, Even With Higher Provisions
The provision for credit losses rose 14.5% to $654 million, including $135 million tied to the acquisition of a small-business credit card portfolio. A stronger economic outlook and favorable credit performance partly offset that increase.
The net charge-off ratio improved to 0.51% from 0.56% a year earlier. Nonperforming assets declined 20% to $1.32 billion, and the nonperforming asset ratio improved to 0.32%. In plain English: borrowers are behaving better than they were a year ago.
The Balance Sheet Looks Solid
U.S. Bancorp reported a Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 10.8% and a total risk-based capital ratio of 14.3%. Book value per share increased 5.3% to $38.27, while tangible book value per share rose 5.4% to $29.34.
The bank also declared a quarterly dividend of 54 cents per share.
Guidance Gets a Nudge Higher
Management raised its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 8% to 9%, up from the previous forecast of 7% to 9%. That implies revenue of approximately $30.996 billion to $31.283 billion, compared with the analyst consensus estimate of $31.075 billion.
The bank expects positive operating leverage of approximately 300 basis points, rising to nearly 400 basis points excluding BTIG. It also expects BTIG to contribute nearly $200 million in quarterly net revenue during the fourth quarter.
Medium-term targets stayed the same: mid-single-digit fee revenue growth, an efficiency ratio in the mid-to-high 50% range, and return on average assets of 1.15% to 1.35%.
Chairman and CEO Gunjan Kedia credited the quarterly performance to the bank's diversified business model, record consumer deposits and disciplined execution. Kedia also highlighted continued growth in capital markets and payments, alongside efforts to expand the bank's small-business operations. Separately, the bank completed a live pilot transaction using its USBDC stablecoin.
So the quarter was good. The guidance was better. The stock, at least early Thursday, was not impressed.