It's Friday, and the markets are feeling a bit more optimistic. U.S. stock futures are pointing higher across the board, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all set to open in the green. This follows a solid Thursday session, where cooler-than-expected June PCE inflation data and softer second-quarter GDP numbers gave investors some hope that the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking cycle might be nearing its end.
But it's not all smooth sailing. There's a geopolitical wrinkle that could complicate things: heightened security concerns around Egypt's Suez Canal, especially after a recent drone attack near Damietta. If that disrupts shipping, we could see war-risk insurance premiums spike, shipping costs rise, and potentially, a fresh wave of inflationary pressure. That's the last thing anyone wants right now.
On the bond side, the 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.65%, while the two-year sits at 4.24%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a 63% likelihood that the Fed will hike rates at its September meeting. So, the debate over whether the Fed is done or not is far from settled.
Here's a quick snapshot of how the major indices are performing in premarket trading:
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.54% |
| S&P 500 | 0.50% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 1.26% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.55% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, are both higher in premarket. SPY is up 0.56% at $745.85, while QQQ has gained 1.26% to $692.16.
Stocks in Focus
Apple
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is taking a hit in premarket, dropping 7.27% despite beating earnings and sales estimates for its fiscal third quarter. The problem? The company's fourth-quarter sales guidance of $111.688 billion to $113.737 billion came in below the Street's expectation of $114.840 billion. It seems investors are more focused on the future than the past.
According to MarketDash's stock rankings, AAPL maintains a strong price trend in the long, short, and medium terms, with a good quality score. So, despite the premarket dip, the fundamentals look solid.
Amazon.com
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) is having a much better day. The e-commerce giant surged 12.31% after posting upbeat second-quarter results on Thursday after the bell. Investors are clearly pleased with the numbers.
MarketDash's stock rankings indicate that AMZN maintains a weak price trend in the short, long, and medium terms, but it has a good growth score. That might sound contradictory, but the market is reacting to the earnings beat, not the technicals.
Reddit
Reddit Inc. (RDDT) is tumbling 9.57% despite reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenue in its second-quarter results, also released after Thursday's close. It's a classic "sell the news" reaction, or maybe investors are worried about something else. Either way, the stock is down.
MarketDash's stock rankings show that RDDT maintains a weak price trend in the long term but a strong trend in the short and medium terms, with a poor value score. So, the short-term momentum is there, but the long-term picture is less rosy.
Coinbase Global
Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) is also lower, down 4.46% in premarket. The crypto exchange posted second-quarter revenue of $1.22 billion, down roughly 19% year-over-year and missing the Street consensus of $1.32 billion. The company also reported a loss of 40 cents per share, wider than the expected loss of 11 cents per share. It's been a tough quarter for crypto, and Coinbase is feeling the pain.
MarketDash's stock rankings indicate that COIN maintains a weak price trend in the long, short, and medium terms, but it has a good quality score. That's a mixed bag, to say the least.
Strategy
Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is down 2.39% after its quarterly revenue of $122.39 million missed the consensus estimate of $122.91 million. The company, which is the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin (BTC) in the world with 843,775 coins, is feeling the pinch from crypto volatility.
MarketDash's stock rankings show that MSTR maintains a weak price trend in the short, long, and medium terms. No surprises there.
Cues From Last Session
Thursday was a good day for stocks. Industrials, information technology, and consumer discretionary led the gains, with most S&P 500 sectors closing higher. Communication services and consumer staples, however, bucked the trend and ended lower.
Here's how the major indices closed on Thursday:
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 1.19% | 52,208.06 |
| S&P 500 | 1.66% | 7,437.63 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 2.78% | 25,122.18 |
| Russell 2000 | 1.37% | 2,946.10 |
Insights From Analysts
Brian Rehling, Co-Head of Global Fixed Income and Digital Asset Strategy at Wells Fargo Advisors, thinks the markets will stay volatile and headline-driven, even though the "U.S. economy has remained surprisingly resilient." He points out that consumers are still spending, businesses are investing, and the labor market is holding up, which keeps overall growth on track.
But there's a catch: oil price volatility is adding a layer of uncertainty. Since energy costs directly impact transportation and manufacturing, surging oil prices could reignite inflation fears. As Rehling puts it, "oil volatility is no longer just about energy. It has become an important factor shaping inflation expectations."
His advice? "Stay disciplined while others get distracted by the latest headline." He's bullish on commodities as a hedge against inflation and for diversification, and he also likes short-term fixed income for capturing meaningful yields while keeping flexibility.
Upcoming Economic Data
Here's what investors will be watching on Friday:
- July's Chicago PMI is due at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- July's final University of Michigan consumer sentiment data comes out at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Commodities, Crypto, And Global Equity Markets
In commodities, WTI crude oil futures are trading lower by 1.04% at around $82.72 per barrel. Gold is down 1.13% to $4,057.62 per ounce, while the U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.29% at 100.1570.
Bitcoin is trading 0.43% lower at $63,902.14 over the last 24 hours.
Globally, Asian markets closed higher on Friday, with Japan's Nikkei 225, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, India's Nifty 50, South Korea's Kospi, Australia's ASX 200, and China's CSI 300 all in the green. European markets are also trading higher in early action.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by MarketDash editors.
