Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) shares jumped more than 2% in Monday's premarket session as investors rediscovered their appetite for big tech stocks. Nasdaq futures were up 1.28%, the S&P 500 futures gained 0.80%, and other semiconductor names were also moving higher before the opening bell.
There wasn't any company-specific news driving AMD's move — it was simply riding the wave of a broader market rally. U.S. equity futures pushed higher as traders continued to favor high-growth technology stocks, and AMD was a natural beneficiary.
The stock has had a strong run over the past year, and with its next earnings report just around the corner, traders are watching closely to see if AMD can keep the momentum going.
Technical Check: Consolidating After a Rally
AMD is currently trading near its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $533.06, making that level an important short-term support. The stock sits 4.9% above its 50-day SMA of $508.48, 38% above its 100-day SMA of $386.58, and nearly 75% above its 200-day SMA of $305.68. The longer-term trend is still firmly positive.
The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 49.66, which is right around neutral. That tells us the stock has cooled off after its recent rally and is now in a consolidation phase. Not too hot, not too cold — just waiting for the next catalyst.
The bullish structure remains intact because the moving averages are still in a healthy alignment: the 20-day SMA is above the 50-day SMA, and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA. AMD hit a 52-week high in June after bouncing from a May swing low, and it's been consolidating since then.
- Key resistance: $546.50
- Key support: $498.00
Earnings and Analyst Outlook
AMD is scheduled to report second-quarter results on Aug. 4, and expectations are high. Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.55, up from just 48 cents a year earlier. Revenue is expected to come in at $11.28 billion, compared to $7.68 billion in the same quarter last year. That's a lot of growth, and it's reflected in the stock's valuation — shares trade at about 174 times earnings.
Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish. The stock carries a consensus Buy rating with an average analyst price target of $574.36. Recent analyst actions include:
- UBS: Reiterated Buy, raised price target to $730 on July 24.
- Jefferies: Reiterated Buy, raised price target to $640 on July 24.
- Roth Capital: Reiterated Buy, raised price target to $650 on July 24.
Those are some serious price targets, especially UBS's $730, which implies about 37% upside from current levels.
Quality and Growth, but at a Price
AMD scores highly on Momentum, Growth, and Quality metrics, but its Value score is weak because of that premium valuation. That combination suggests investors are still rewarding the company's growth prospects, but it also means the stock could be more volatile if earnings or guidance disappoint. When you're paying 174 times earnings, there's not much room for error.
ETF Exposure
AMD is a significant holding in several popular ETFs, which means fund flows can influence the stock's demand. Key exposures include:
- iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX): 8.47%
- ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW): 8.21%
- Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (TRFK): 8.22%
Price Action
AMD shares were up 2.41% at $534.53 during premarket trading on Monday, according to market data.