President Donald Trump is back on Truth Social, this time calling out a mystery retailer for stepping up to lower gas prices just in time for the Fourth of July. In a Wednesday post, Trump said global oil prices are “plummeting” and that gas prices are coming down—but “not as fast as they should be.”

Then he dropped a name: the Freedom Fuel Network, which he described as a “very smart retailer” operating across the Northeast. According to Trump, the network will lower prices on July 3 at 25 gas stations in the Greater Philadelphia area. “This Retailer is taking the lead, and others should follow,” he wrote, adding that the move shows “they love the U.S.A.”

Trump also predicted that gas prices would soon return to the “record low prices” seen before what he called the “successful excursion” in Iran. The post didn’t specify exactly which stations are involved, but the message was clear: lower prices are coming, and other retailers should get on board.

But not everyone is convinced the path to cheaper gas is that straightforward. GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan pointed out that refineries are facing a double whammy: a heatwave and the lingering effects of Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries. Those issues are creating production challenges that make it hard to simply flip a switch and lower prices. “The President would love to see this magic ratio return, but that’s probably not gonna happen any time soon,” De Haan said.

Meanwhile, Trump’s top economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, offered a more optimistic take, saying pump prices will drop once traffic through the Strait of Hormuz normalizes. That’s a big “if,” given the ongoing tensions with Iran.

Speaking of Iran, Trump said during a recent press briefing that talks with Iranian leaders are going well, despite their earlier refusal to meet directly with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. The situation remains fluid, and any resolution could have a major impact on global oil supply and prices.

For now, the numbers tell the story: according to AAA, the national average for a gallon of gas was $3.847 on Wednesday. California and Hawaii are still stuck above $5 per gallon, a reminder that not everyone is feeling the relief Trump is promising.

So, will other retailers follow the Freedom Fuel Network’s lead? Trump certainly hopes so. But with refinery headaches and geopolitical uncertainty in the mix, the road to lower prices might be bumpier than a holiday road trip.