SanDisk Corp. (SNDK) is catching a bid Wednesday morning, rising 3.13% in premarket trading to $2,025. That's a welcome relief after the stock got hammered 13.6% on Tuesday in a broad semiconductor selloff. The bounce comes as traders shift their gaze from the rearview mirror to what's ahead: Micron Technology Inc. (MU) reports fiscal third-quarter earnings after the closing bell, and the memory chip world is holding its breath.
Nasdaq futures are up 0.55%, and S&P 500 futures are adding 0.25%, so the broader market is feeling a bit more optimistic too.
Micron Earnings: The Catalyst Everyone's Watching
Micron's report is basically the Super Bowl for memory stocks right now. Options markets are pricing in an implied move of roughly 14% in either direction, which tells you how much uncertainty—and potential excitement—is baked in. Wall Street expects Micron to deliver earnings of $20.76 per share on revenue of $35.75 billion.
If Micron beats and guides higher, it could lift the whole memory boat. If it disappoints, well, Tuesday's selloff might just be a preview.
Memory Chips Aren't Commodities Anymore
Futurum Group CEO Daniel Newman made a bold call on Tuesday that's worth chewing on. Appearing on Yahoo Finance (the clip made the rounds on X), Newman said, "The era of memory as a commodity is over. Memory is strategic." He drew a direct line between today's memory supply constraints and surging demand and the early phases of NVIDIA Corp.'s artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout. In other words, memory chips are becoming as critical to AI as GPUs—and that changes the pricing power and investment thesis for companies like SanDisk and Micron.
Volatility Feels Like the Old NVIDIA Days
Market commentator The Kobeissi Letter noted on X that the buzz around Micron's report "now feel a lot like NVIDIA earnings days in 2023 and 2024." That's a high-stakes comparison, but it captures the intensity of the moment. Memory is no longer a boring, cyclical afterthought—it's front and center in the AI narrative.
SanDisk's Technical Picture: Bullish but Extended
Despite Tuesday's drubbing, SNDK's long-term technical setup remains firmly bullish. The stock is still trading well above every major moving average: about 10.9% above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1,820.90, 39.2% above the 50-day SMA of $1,450.54, and a whopping 218.5% above the 200-day SMA of $633.87. The moving-average stack is textbook bullish—20-day above 50-day, 50-day above 200-day.
But here's the thing: SNDK has rallied 4,047.87% over the past 12 months. That's not a typo. When a stock has run that far, the next healthy trend test isn't whether it can keep going up—it's whether dips get defended above the 20-day or 50-day area, or whether they turn into a deeper mean reversion. Tuesday's drop tested the 20-day SMA and held, which is a good sign, but the stakes are high.
- Key Resistance: $2,354.39
- Key Support: $1,820.90 (20-day SMA)
For now, SanDisk shares are up 3.13% at $2,025 in premarket trading, according to market data. The real action starts when Micron speaks.