The U.S.-Iran agreement has set Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on a “collision course” with President Donald Trump, according to a report published on Monday. And crypto prediction markets are now betting that the rift gets very personal, very fast.
Crypto Bettors See a 40% Chance Trump Publicly Insults Netanyahu Before July
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A Major Rift Brewing?
An Israeli official told Reuters that the preliminary agreement is “terrible” for Israel and no one in the country’s leadership views it otherwise. That’s a pretty clear signal that Netanyahu isn’t happy.
Trump, for his part, described Netanyahu as a “very difficult guy” in a New York Times interview on Sunday, adding that the Israeli leader should be “thankful” to the U.S. for preventing a possible nuclear attack from Iran. It’s not exactly a warm embrace.
But this isn’t the first time Trump has expressed displeasure with Netanyahu’s actions. Earlier this month, he reportedly called Netanyahu “crazy” over Israel’s attacks in Lebanon in an “expletive-laden call.” So the tension has been building.
Netanyahu acknowledged differences with Trump at a Monday press conference, saying, “We many times see eye-to-eye, and there are times when we see eye-to-eye less.” That’s diplomatic-speak for “we’re not on the same page right now.”
The Lebanon Question
A deal between the U.S. and Iran is expected to be signed this Friday in Switzerland. Pakistan, the mediator, stated the agreement would permanently end military operations on every front—including Lebanon. But Netanyahu said that Israel would maintain forces in southern Lebanon and retain the right to respond to attacks by Hezbollah, an Iranian proxy. That’s a direct contradiction of the deal’s intended scope.
Moreover, Israel’s Defense Minister, Israel Katz, has warned that if Iran were to attack Israel due to the events in Lebanon, Israel would retaliate “with full force.” So the region remains a tinderbox.
Will Trump Brazenly Insult Netanyahu?
Prediction markets now expect an uglier clash between Trump and Netanyahu. Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket showed a 40% chance that Trump will publicly insult or mock Netanyahu before June 30, up from 17% a month earlier. That’s a big jump in a short time, reflecting the deteriorating relationship.
Meanwhile, the chances that the Israeli leader would insult Trump remained low at only 5% as of this writing. So the market thinks the insults will flow mostly one way—from Trump to Netanyahu.
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