U.S. stock futures were pointing higher on Friday, extending Thursday's modest gains, but the mood is far from euphoric. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all saw futures rise—0.28%, 0.31%, and 0.53%, respectively—while the small-cap Russell 2000 futures added 0.32%. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.39% at $745.58 in premarket, and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) gained 0.59% to $718.71.
But there's a big geopolitical cloud hanging over the party. The U.S.-Iran peace talks, which had raised hopes for a de-escalation in the Middle East, are hitting a snag. According to Reuters, Iran's Supreme Leader has issued a directive to keep the country's enriched uranium stockpile within its borders, hardening Tehran's stance on a key American demand. Pakistan is trying to mediate a breakthrough, but investors are worried about unresolved issues around the Strait of Hormuz and the potential for a global energy shock. That's pushing oil prices higher—crude futures were still elevated despite a 5.37% dip on Friday to around $98.78 per barrel—and keeping the U.S. dollar near a six-week high.
Meanwhile, the bond market is sending its own signals. The 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.57%, while the two-year note yielded 4.09%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a 97.2% chance that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. So, no rate cuts anytime soon.
Stocks in Focus
Ross Stores (ROST)
Ross Stores rose 5.34% in premarket after reporting better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and raising its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance. The discount retailer continues to benefit from value-conscious shoppers. According to market data, ROST maintains a strong price trend in the long and medium terms but a weak trend in the short term, with a moderate value score.
Zoom Communications (ZM)
Zoom Communications jumped 6.46% after reporting better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and raising its fiscal 2027 guidance. The video conferencing company is showing resilience as hybrid work persists. Market data indicates that ZM maintains a strong price trend in the short, long, and medium terms, with a solid growth score.
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO)
Take-Two Interactive Software advanced 5.05% after reporting upbeat fourth-quarter financial results and issuing strong first-quarter earnings guidance. The video game publisher behind Grand Theft Auto continues to ride the gaming wave. However, market data shows that TTWO maintains a weak price trend in the long, short, and medium terms.
Workday (WDAY)
Workday soared 12.02% after reporting quarterly earnings of $2.66 per share, beating the Street estimate of $2.51 by 5.98%. Revenue came in at $2.54 billion, above the analyst consensus estimate of $2.52 billion. The cloud-based HR and finance software company is benefiting from strong enterprise demand. Market data indicates that WDAY maintains a weak price trend in the short, long, and medium terms, with a poor quality rank.
Estee Lauder Companies (EL)
Estee Lauder Companies gained 10.40% after ending discussions about a potential business combination with Puig. The cosmetics giant is going it alone for now, and investors seem to like the clarity. Market data shows that EL maintains a weak price trend in the short, long, and medium terms, with a poor growth ranking.
Cues From Last Session
Thursday was a decent day for stocks, with the Dow Jones rising 0.55% to 50,285.66, the S&P 500 adding 0.17% to 7,445.72, and the Nasdaq Composite eking out a 0.087% gain to 26,293.10. The Russell 2000 outperformed, climbing 0.93% to 2,843.45. Materials, utilities, and consumer discretionary sectors led the gains, while consumer staples and energy stocks bucked the trend and finished lower.
Insights From Analysts
Jennifer Timmerman, Investment Strategy Analyst at Wells Fargo, says the recent economic data paints a complicated picture. April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 3.8% year-over-year, while wholesale inflation via the Producer Price Index (PPI) jumped a striking 6%. But Timmerman notes that "the inflation news isn't all bad," pointing to a more subdued core CPI and contained core services inflation.
She also expects "energy prices to stay above their pre-war levels for most of the balance of 2026," which will hit consumers at the pump and the grocery store. For investors, Timmerman advises against making reactionary decisions. She says "it's prudent to maintain exposure to longer-term themes but adjust when potential opportunities appear to add value."
While Wells Fargo favors Information Technology, Timmerman suggests looking toward less expensive sectors that are building out AI infrastructure, such as Industrials and Utilities. She highlights opportunities in Machinery, Electrical Equipment, and Aerospace and Defense companies as sustainable long-term trends.
Upcoming Economic Data
Investors will be watching Friday's data releases: May's final consumer sentiment data and April's U.S. leading economic indicators, both due at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Commodities, Crypto, and Global Equity Markets
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session, down 5.37% to around $98.78 per barrel, but remain elevated amid geopolitical tensions. Gold fell 0.46% to around $4,522.17 per ounce, well off its record high of $5,595.46. The U.S. Dollar Index was nearly flat at 99.238.
Bitcoin (BTC) was trading 0.75% lower at $77,249.93 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed higher on Friday, with India's Nifty 50, China's CSI 300, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Japan's Nikkei 225, South Korea's Kospi, and Australia's ASX 200 all rising. European markets were also higher in early trade.