Here's a classic market puzzle: a company reports quarterly numbers that are better than expected, and its stock goes down. Welcome to the story of Velo3D Inc (VELO) on Wednesday. The additive manufacturing firm's shares were retreating after it posted fourth-quarter results that, on paper, looked pretty good.
Revenue came in at $9.44 million, beating the $8.68 million analysts were looking for. The adjusted loss was 54 cents per share, a slight improvement over the expected 56-cent loss. So far, so good. But then you look a little closer. Revenue from 3D printers and parts actually decreased 5% from a year ago. Management chalked that up to product mix and system sales volume. The real story, however, isn't in the rearview mirror—it's in the windshield.
The company ended the year with a backlog of $31 million, which CEO Arun Jeldi called a "record for bookings" in the quarter. That's the positive spin. The catch comes with the vision. Jeldi laid out a plan to deploy 400 production systems over the next decade. That's the kind of long-term, capital-intensive growth story that gets investors excited. But there was a crucial footnote attached: this plan remains "subject to securing additional financing."
And there it is. The market is a forward-looking machine. Beating last quarter's estimates is nice, but if the path to future growth requires going back to the well for more money, that can spook investors. It introduces uncertainty about dilution, debt, or the terms of that future capital raise. It seems traders on Wednesday were more focused on that financing footnote than the quarterly beat.
The technical picture adds some color to the move. According to market data, short interest in Velo3D recently decreased from 2.55 million to 2.31 million shares. About 18.86% of the publicly available shares are still held short, which would take roughly 1.08 days of trading to cover. The stock is trading 1.6% below its 20-day simple moving average, suggesting some short-term pressure, but it's still 11.2% above its 100-day average, hinting the longer-term uptrend might not be broken yet.
Shares are up a staggering 302% over the past year, but they're currently sitting closer to the middle of their 52-week range ($2.81 to $23.84) than to either extreme. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at a neutral 51.41, while the MACD indicator is showing a bullish signal. Key technical levels to watch are resistance at $13.50 and support at $12.50. In premarket trading Wednesday, the stock was down 7.54% at that $12.50 support level.
So, the takeaway? Velo3D delivered a decent quarter, but the market is voting on its future. And right now, the need for that future "additional financing" is casting a shadow over the present results.
