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Markets Dip as Fed Holds, Geopolitics Simmer, and Earnings Loom

MarketDash
Close-Up Of Wall Street sign
U.S. stock futures pointed lower Thursday, digesting the Fed's steady rates, Middle East tensions, and a mixed bag of premarket stock moves from Micron to FedEx.

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U.S. stock futures were in the red Thursday morning, suggesting the market's Wednesday slump wasn't a one-off. It's a classic case of the market digesting a few big things at once: a Federal Reserve that's still on hold, some geopolitical saber-rattling, and a handful of individual stocks making their own news.

The Fed, as widely expected, decided to keep interest rates parked in the 3.50%–3.75% range for a third meeting in a row. The official word from the FOMC was that the economy is still expanding nicely, but inflation is hanging around at elevated levels and job growth has been a bit sluggish. Markets, via the CME Group's FedWatch tool, are betting with near certainty (95.9% odds) that the central bank leaves things unchanged again later today.

Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop got a bit noisier. Former President Donald Trump issued a warning to Iran, saying continued strikes on Qatar's liquefied natural gas facilities would face "major retaliation." In the same breath, he signaled that Israel would stop targeting Iran's vital South Pars gas field. Following talks with Trump and the Qatari Emir, French President Emmanuel Macron urged an immediate end to attacks on infrastructure, citing the need to protect civilians and stabilize global energy supplies.

Against this backdrop, bond yields were steady, with the 10-year Treasury at 4.28% and the two-year at 3.80%. Stock futures weren't as calm. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 futures were all down between 0.31% and 0.58%. The popular ETFs that track the broader market followed suit: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.32% to $659.32, and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) fell 0.49% to $592.00 in premarket trading.

Stocks Making Moves

While the macro picture set the tone, several individual stocks were dancing to their own beats in the premarket.

Micron Technology

Micron Technology Inc. (MU) was a curious case, falling 4.01% even after reporting better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal second quarter. The chipmaker also said it expects capital expenditure for fiscal 2026 to be above $25 billion. Market data indicates MU maintains a strong price trend across short, medium, and long-term timeframes, with a solid growth score.

Rocket Lab

It was a better morning for Rocket Lab Corp. (RKLB), which rose 1.83%. The catalyst was a hefty $190 million contract for a block buy of 20 hypersonic test flights using its HASTE launch vehicle for the Test Resource Management Center. Market data shows RKLB has a weak short-term trend but strong price trends over the medium and long term.

FedEx

All eyes are on FedEx Corp. (FDX) today, with the delivery giant set to report earnings after the closing bell. Analysts are expecting earnings of $4.13 per share on revenue of $23.42 billion. The stock was essentially flat, down a mere 0.091% in premarket action. Market data indicates FDX has a strong price trend across all timeframes and a solid quality score.

Guardian Pharmacy Services

Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (GRDN) took a sharp 10.06% dive after announcing a proposed public offering of 5 million shares. New share offerings often dilute existing shareholders, which can spook the market. Market data shows GRDN has a weak short-term trend but strong trends over the medium and long term, alongside a poor value score.

Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy Corp. (CEG) inched up 0.088% after announcing an agreement to sell its PJM Generation Assets to LS Power. Market data indicates CEG has a weak price trend in the medium term but strong trends in the short and long term, with a moderate value ranking.

Looking Back at Wednesday's Slide

Thursday's tentative start followed a rough session on Wednesday. The Dow Jones plunged over 750 points, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also falling sharply. The materials, consumer discretionary, and consumer staples sectors led the decline.

IndexPerformance (+/-)Value
Dow Jones-1.63%46,225.15
S&P 500-1.36%6,624.70
Nasdaq Composite-1.46%22,152.42
Russell 2000-1.64%2,478.64
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Weekly insights + SMS (optional)

What the Analysts Are Saying

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, published its latest take, maintaining a "constructive yet cautious" outlook. They see a "visible global macro shock" from the Middle East conflict, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz adding to inflation. However, they think a "feedback loop" of political and economic fallout might eventually limit the conflict's duration.

Their warning is stark: "if current crude oil prices persist for six months, we see a notable drag on global growth and boost to inflation."

For the stock market, BlackRock remains tactically overweight U.S. equities, preferring them over international stocks. Their conviction is rooted in the "AI theme supported by strong earnings, resilient profit margins and healthy balance sheets." They also expect support from "continued Federal Reserve easing into 2026 and reduced policy uncertainty."

But here's the kicker for investors building portfolios: BlackRock warns that traditional diversifiers are currently "challenged." In their view, long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds aren't providing the necessary "portfolio ballast" against falling stocks in this persistent high-inflation environment. That's a big shift from the old playbook.

On the Economic Docket

Thursday brings a fresh batch of data for investors to chew on:

  • Initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14 and the Philadelphia Fed's March manufacturing survey data are due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • January's wholesale inventories and new home sales data follow at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Around the Markets: Oil, Gold, Crypto, and the World

The action wasn't confined to stocks. Crude oil futures were up 1.47% in early New York trading, hovering around $96.86 per barrel. Gold, however, took a hit, with the spot price falling 2.20% to around $4,712.92 per ounce. Its last record high was $5,595.46. The U.S. Dollar Index was slightly higher.

In crypto, Bitcoin was trading 5.37% lower at $70,065.66.

Globally, the mood was downbeat. Major Asian indices, including Japan's Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng, closed lower. European markets were also trading lower in early Thursday trade.

Markets Dip as Fed Holds, Geopolitics Simmer, and Earnings Loom

MarketDash
Close-Up Of Wall Street sign
U.S. stock futures pointed lower Thursday, digesting the Fed's steady rates, Middle East tensions, and a mixed bag of premarket stock moves from Micron to FedEx.

Get Market Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS alerts

U.S. stock futures were in the red Thursday morning, suggesting the market's Wednesday slump wasn't a one-off. It's a classic case of the market digesting a few big things at once: a Federal Reserve that's still on hold, some geopolitical saber-rattling, and a handful of individual stocks making their own news.

The Fed, as widely expected, decided to keep interest rates parked in the 3.50%–3.75% range for a third meeting in a row. The official word from the FOMC was that the economy is still expanding nicely, but inflation is hanging around at elevated levels and job growth has been a bit sluggish. Markets, via the CME Group's FedWatch tool, are betting with near certainty (95.9% odds) that the central bank leaves things unchanged again later today.

Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop got a bit noisier. Former President Donald Trump issued a warning to Iran, saying continued strikes on Qatar's liquefied natural gas facilities would face "major retaliation." In the same breath, he signaled that Israel would stop targeting Iran's vital South Pars gas field. Following talks with Trump and the Qatari Emir, French President Emmanuel Macron urged an immediate end to attacks on infrastructure, citing the need to protect civilians and stabilize global energy supplies.

Against this backdrop, bond yields were steady, with the 10-year Treasury at 4.28% and the two-year at 3.80%. Stock futures weren't as calm. The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 futures were all down between 0.31% and 0.58%. The popular ETFs that track the broader market followed suit: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.32% to $659.32, and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) fell 0.49% to $592.00 in premarket trading.

Stocks Making Moves

While the macro picture set the tone, several individual stocks were dancing to their own beats in the premarket.

Micron Technology

Micron Technology Inc. (MU) was a curious case, falling 4.01% even after reporting better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal second quarter. The chipmaker also said it expects capital expenditure for fiscal 2026 to be above $25 billion. Market data indicates MU maintains a strong price trend across short, medium, and long-term timeframes, with a solid growth score.

Rocket Lab

It was a better morning for Rocket Lab Corp. (RKLB), which rose 1.83%. The catalyst was a hefty $190 million contract for a block buy of 20 hypersonic test flights using its HASTE launch vehicle for the Test Resource Management Center. Market data shows RKLB has a weak short-term trend but strong price trends over the medium and long term.

FedEx

All eyes are on FedEx Corp. (FDX) today, with the delivery giant set to report earnings after the closing bell. Analysts are expecting earnings of $4.13 per share on revenue of $23.42 billion. The stock was essentially flat, down a mere 0.091% in premarket action. Market data indicates FDX has a strong price trend across all timeframes and a solid quality score.

Guardian Pharmacy Services

Guardian Pharmacy Services Inc. (GRDN) took a sharp 10.06% dive after announcing a proposed public offering of 5 million shares. New share offerings often dilute existing shareholders, which can spook the market. Market data shows GRDN has a weak short-term trend but strong trends over the medium and long term, alongside a poor value score.

Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy Corp. (CEG) inched up 0.088% after announcing an agreement to sell its PJM Generation Assets to LS Power. Market data indicates CEG has a weak price trend in the medium term but strong trends in the short and long term, with a moderate value ranking.

Looking Back at Wednesday's Slide

Thursday's tentative start followed a rough session on Wednesday. The Dow Jones plunged over 750 points, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also falling sharply. The materials, consumer discretionary, and consumer staples sectors led the decline.

IndexPerformance (+/-)Value
Dow Jones-1.63%46,225.15
S&P 500-1.36%6,624.70
Nasdaq Composite-1.46%22,152.42
Russell 2000-1.64%2,478.64
Get Market Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS (optional)

What the Analysts Are Saying

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, published its latest take, maintaining a "constructive yet cautious" outlook. They see a "visible global macro shock" from the Middle East conflict, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz adding to inflation. However, they think a "feedback loop" of political and economic fallout might eventually limit the conflict's duration.

Their warning is stark: "if current crude oil prices persist for six months, we see a notable drag on global growth and boost to inflation."

For the stock market, BlackRock remains tactically overweight U.S. equities, preferring them over international stocks. Their conviction is rooted in the "AI theme supported by strong earnings, resilient profit margins and healthy balance sheets." They also expect support from "continued Federal Reserve easing into 2026 and reduced policy uncertainty."

But here's the kicker for investors building portfolios: BlackRock warns that traditional diversifiers are currently "challenged." In their view, long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds aren't providing the necessary "portfolio ballast" against falling stocks in this persistent high-inflation environment. That's a big shift from the old playbook.

On the Economic Docket

Thursday brings a fresh batch of data for investors to chew on:

  • Initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14 and the Philadelphia Fed's March manufacturing survey data are due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • January's wholesale inventories and new home sales data follow at 10:00 a.m. ET.

Around the Markets: Oil, Gold, Crypto, and the World

The action wasn't confined to stocks. Crude oil futures were up 1.47% in early New York trading, hovering around $96.86 per barrel. Gold, however, took a hit, with the spot price falling 2.20% to around $4,712.92 per ounce. Its last record high was $5,595.46. The U.S. Dollar Index was slightly higher.

In crypto, Bitcoin was trading 5.37% lower at $70,065.66.

Globally, the mood was downbeat. Major Asian indices, including Japan's Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng, closed lower. European markets were also trading lower in early Thursday trade.