Shares of Carvana (CVNA) were moving higher on Friday. The catalyst? The online used car retailer announced a 5-for-1 forward stock split. It's the company's first split ever, and the board says it's all about making the stock more accessible to its employees.
CFO Mark Jenkins framed the move as supporting the company's "long-standing focus on employee ownership through programs such as its discounted Employee Stock Purchase Plan." The board approved the split after what it described as strong stock appreciation and record units sold and profitability in 2025. The announcement landed on a day when the broader market, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, was also posting modest gains.
Now, a stock split doesn't change the fundamental value of a company—it's like cutting a pizza into more slices. But it often gets a warm reception from investors, partly for psychological reasons (a lower per-share price can feel more accessible) and partly because it signals management's confidence. In Carvana's case, they're explicitly tying it to employee ownership, which is a specific and interesting rationale.
Technical Analysis
Let's look under the hood at where the stock stands technically. Carvana is currently trading 9.6% below its 20-day simple moving average and 21.9% below its 100-day simple moving average. That suggests a bearish short-term trend.
Zoom out, though, and the picture is different. Over the past 12 months, the shares have increased by 77.96%. They're also positioned closer to their 52-week highs than their lows, reflecting that strong longer-term performance.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 32.98, which is considered neutral territory—so the stock isn't signaling as overbought or oversold. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator is at -22.8691, with its signal line at -22.9011. Since the MACD is above the signal line, that indicates a recent bullish crossover.
So, you've got a neutral RSI and a bullish MACD. That combination suggests mixed momentum; there's some upward pressure, but the overall positioning remains cautious. Traders are watching key resistance at $355.50 and key support at $285.00.
Interestingly, Carvana is underperforming its sector today, which is itself down 0.45%. The Energy sector is currently the worst performer, and despite a positive 30-day performance of 4.07%, it has struggled recently. That broader sector weakness might be a headwind for Carvana's stock performance as well.
For those new to the story, Carvana is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It makes money from selling used vehicles, wholesale vehicle sales, and other revenue streams like selling loans it originates.
Earnings & Analyst Outlook
The company is slated to provide its next financial update on May 6, 2026 (that's an estimated date). Here's what the Street is expecting:
- EPS Estimate: $1.44 (this is down from a previous estimate of $1.51)
- Revenue Estimate: $6.07 billion (this is up significantly from $4.23 billion)
- Valuation: The stock trades at a P/E of 34.6x, which indicates a premium valuation.
The analyst consensus on the stock is a Buy rating, with an average price target of $470.18. However, several analysts have recently tweaked their targets:
- Citigroup: Maintained a Buy rating but lowered its price target to $465.00 (Feb. 20)
- Barclays: Maintained an Overweight rating but lowered its price target to $450.00 (Feb. 20)
- DA Davidson: Maintained a Neutral rating but lowered its price target to $320.00 (Feb. 19)
So, the overall sentiment is positive, but there's been some recent trimming of expectations.
