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Marvell's AI Chip Bet Pays Off: Stock Soars on Data Center Gold Rush

MarketDash
Marvell Technology company logo on building facade
Marvell Technology's stock surged after a strong earnings report fueled by booming AI demand, with the company projecting revenue could hit $11 billion by 2027.

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So here's what happens when you're in the right place at the right time with the right chips. Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) shares took off like a rocket in premarket trading on Friday, and it's not hard to see why. The company just dropped an earnings report that basically says, "Hey, remember that whole AI thing? We're making bank on it."

Let's talk numbers first, because that's where the story starts. For the fourth quarter, Marvell posted revenue of $2.22 billion. That's a hair above what analysts were expecting ($2.21 billion), and it represents a solid 22% jump from where they were a year ago. Adjusted earnings came in at 80 cents per share, which also edged out expectations by a penny. Not bad for a quarter's work.

But here's the thing with earnings reports—the past is nice, but investors really care about the future. And Marvell's management team was happy to paint a very, very bright picture.

The Road to $11 Billion

During the earnings call, an executive laid out some projections that got people's attention. The company now thinks its fiscal 2027 revenue will grow more than 30% year-over-year, landing at nearly $11 billion. Let that sink in for a second. That's the target.

Digging into the segments, the data center business is expected to be the real engine. Revenue there is projected to increase close to 50% year-over-year in fiscal 2028. The interconnect business—the stuff that helps all these AI systems talk to each other—is also expected to grow more than 50% annually.

On the customer side, the news is good too. The company said it's winning new business and expects to be supplying DCI modules to all five major U.S. hyperscalers this year. You know, the usual suspects who are building out massive AI infrastructure.

There's also a specific product ramp worth noting. The company confirmed it's on track for revenue from Celestial AI's CPO (that's co-packaged optics, for the uninitiated) to hit a $500 million annualized run rate by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2028. And then they expect that figure to double to $1 billion by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2029. That's not just growth; that's hockey-stick growth.

The CEO's Take

CEO Matt Murphy didn't hold back on the optimism. He pointed to "accelerated revenue growth into fiscal 2027," backed by what he called strong data center momentum and record bookings. It's the kind of language that makes growth investors smile.

For the immediate future, the company's guidance suggests the momentum isn't slowing. For the first quarter, Marvell is looking for revenue of about $2.40 billion and adjusted earnings of roughly 79 cents per share. It's a signal that they're confident the data center gold rush has legs.

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Weekly insights + SMS (optional)

What the Analysts Are Saying

The overall analyst consensus still leans positive. The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price target of $118.12. But as always on Wall Street, not everyone is moving in the same direction at the same time.

Recent analyst actions show a bit of a mixed bag:

  • Evercore ISI Group maintained an Outperform rating but lowered its target to $133.00 on March 4.
  • Morgan Stanley kept an Equal-Weight rating and lowered its target to $95.00 on March 2.
  • UBS reiterated a Buy rating and actually raised its target to $120.00 on February 23.

So you've got some trimming targets, one raising, but the overarching theme is still one of confidence in the company's AI-driven story.

ETF Exposure: The Automatic Buyer Effect

Here's a piece of the puzzle that sometimes gets overlooked. Marvell isn't just a stock you buy directly; it's also a key holding in several popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Because of how ETFs work, when money flows into these funds, the managers have to go out and buy the underlying stocks to match the index.

Marvell has notable weight in a few tech-focused ETFs:

  • iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY): 3.62% Weight
  • SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD): 3.28% Weight
  • Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX): 4.39% Weight

The significance? If investors keep piling into these AI and tech ETFs—which has been a major trend—that creates automatic, ongoing demand for Marvell shares. It's a built-in tailwind that can push the stock higher even on days when there's no specific company news.

Wrapping it up, the market's reaction was clear. Marvell Technology shares were up 11.38% at $84.29 during premarket trading on Friday. When a company beats expectations, guides higher, and lays out a multi-year growth story tied to the hottest theme in tech, that's the kind of move you get. The data center gold rush is on, and Marvell has a front-row seat.

Marvell's AI Chip Bet Pays Off: Stock Soars on Data Center Gold Rush

MarketDash
Marvell Technology company logo on building facade
Marvell Technology's stock surged after a strong earnings report fueled by booming AI demand, with the company projecting revenue could hit $11 billion by 2027.

Get Market Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS alerts

So here's what happens when you're in the right place at the right time with the right chips. Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) shares took off like a rocket in premarket trading on Friday, and it's not hard to see why. The company just dropped an earnings report that basically says, "Hey, remember that whole AI thing? We're making bank on it."

Let's talk numbers first, because that's where the story starts. For the fourth quarter, Marvell posted revenue of $2.22 billion. That's a hair above what analysts were expecting ($2.21 billion), and it represents a solid 22% jump from where they were a year ago. Adjusted earnings came in at 80 cents per share, which also edged out expectations by a penny. Not bad for a quarter's work.

But here's the thing with earnings reports—the past is nice, but investors really care about the future. And Marvell's management team was happy to paint a very, very bright picture.

The Road to $11 Billion

During the earnings call, an executive laid out some projections that got people's attention. The company now thinks its fiscal 2027 revenue will grow more than 30% year-over-year, landing at nearly $11 billion. Let that sink in for a second. That's the target.

Digging into the segments, the data center business is expected to be the real engine. Revenue there is projected to increase close to 50% year-over-year in fiscal 2028. The interconnect business—the stuff that helps all these AI systems talk to each other—is also expected to grow more than 50% annually.

On the customer side, the news is good too. The company said it's winning new business and expects to be supplying DCI modules to all five major U.S. hyperscalers this year. You know, the usual suspects who are building out massive AI infrastructure.

There's also a specific product ramp worth noting. The company confirmed it's on track for revenue from Celestial AI's CPO (that's co-packaged optics, for the uninitiated) to hit a $500 million annualized run rate by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2028. And then they expect that figure to double to $1 billion by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2029. That's not just growth; that's hockey-stick growth.

The CEO's Take

CEO Matt Murphy didn't hold back on the optimism. He pointed to "accelerated revenue growth into fiscal 2027," backed by what he called strong data center momentum and record bookings. It's the kind of language that makes growth investors smile.

For the immediate future, the company's guidance suggests the momentum isn't slowing. For the first quarter, Marvell is looking for revenue of about $2.40 billion and adjusted earnings of roughly 79 cents per share. It's a signal that they're confident the data center gold rush has legs.

Get Market Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS (optional)

What the Analysts Are Saying

The overall analyst consensus still leans positive. The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price target of $118.12. But as always on Wall Street, not everyone is moving in the same direction at the same time.

Recent analyst actions show a bit of a mixed bag:

  • Evercore ISI Group maintained an Outperform rating but lowered its target to $133.00 on March 4.
  • Morgan Stanley kept an Equal-Weight rating and lowered its target to $95.00 on March 2.
  • UBS reiterated a Buy rating and actually raised its target to $120.00 on February 23.

So you've got some trimming targets, one raising, but the overarching theme is still one of confidence in the company's AI-driven story.

ETF Exposure: The Automatic Buyer Effect

Here's a piece of the puzzle that sometimes gets overlooked. Marvell isn't just a stock you buy directly; it's also a key holding in several popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Because of how ETFs work, when money flows into these funds, the managers have to go out and buy the underlying stocks to match the index.

Marvell has notable weight in a few tech-focused ETFs:

  • iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY): 3.62% Weight
  • SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD): 3.28% Weight
  • Fidelity Disruptive Technology ETF (FDTX): 4.39% Weight

The significance? If investors keep piling into these AI and tech ETFs—which has been a major trend—that creates automatic, ongoing demand for Marvell shares. It's a built-in tailwind that can push the stock higher even on days when there's no specific company news.

Wrapping it up, the market's reaction was clear. Marvell Technology shares were up 11.38% at $84.29 during premarket trading on Friday. When a company beats expectations, guides higher, and lays out a multi-year growth story tied to the hottest theme in tech, that's the kind of move you get. The data center gold rush is on, and Marvell has a front-row seat.